Will LS1498 be delayed today?
Palma de Mallorca → London Stansted · Sun 1 Nov · Jet2
same answer since Palma de Mallorca time
Very likely, by about 55 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves21:10≈22:07Palma de Mallorca time
Lands22:45≈23:35London time
As of 18:59, LS1498 should push back about 22:07 (scheduled 21:10) and land about 23:35 (scheduled 22:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈55 min
A usual eveningLS1498's typical departure, last 90 days18
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 42 min latePalma de Mallorca departures board+38
Calmer than usual at Palma de MallorcaFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Palma de Mallorca is running smoothly10% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Jet2.com is running late today60% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 49 min late+3
Leaves≈5546 to 90
Made up in the air−7
Lands≈50
weather at Londonstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 20:25Palma de Mallorca time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
7on time
8late
10very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
LS1498 Palma de Mallorca to London left within 15 minutes of schedule on 7 of its last 25 flights, usually 35 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 18. It wasn't cancelled once.