Will LS1727 be delayed today?
Manchester → Antalya · Sat 31 Oct · Jet2
updated Manchester time
Probably, by about 25 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:55≈14:18
Lands21:25≈21:38
As of 13:59, LS1727 should push back about 14:18 (scheduled 13:55) and land about 21:38 (scheduled 21:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈25 min
A usual afternoonLS1727's typical departure, last 90 days26
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farManchester departures board−4
Calmer than usual at ManchesterFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Thunderstorms possible at AntalyaFrom the TAF: thunder in the TAF, low cloud and poor visibility around arrival at Antalya today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 33% 15+ min late+1
Manchester is running smoothly41% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Jet2.com is running late today62% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 6 min late+2
Leaves≈2513 to 52
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈15
storms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 132Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
1on time
9late
10very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
LS1727 Manchester to Antalya left within 15 minutes of schedule on 1 of its last 20 flights, usually 44 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 19. It wasn't cancelled once.