Will GK104 be delayed tomorrow?
Sapporo → Tokyo Narita · Mon 2 Nov · Jetstar Japan
updated Sapporo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 11:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:05≈11:12
Lands12:50≈12:57
As of 15:49, GK104 should push back about 11:12 (scheduled 11:05) and land about 12:57 (scheduled 12:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual morningGK104's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as GK105 from Tokyo, not departed yet0
Jetstar Japan is running late today37% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 19 min late; yesterday this flight left 125 min late+2
Leaves≈70 to 16
weather at Sapporoweather at Tokyodepartures at Sapporostorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 58
usually 1 in 164Check again tomorrow 08:05Sapporo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
56on time
25late
6very late
2cancelled
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T
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GK104 Sapporo to Tokyo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 56 of its last 89 flights, usually 11 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 31. It was cancelled twice.