Will GK509 be delayed tomorrow?
Tokyo → Fukuoka · Wed 4 Nov · Jetstar Japan
same answer since Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave about 5 minutes late, around 11:35.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:30≈11:35
Lands≈13:40
As of 14:19, GK509 should push back about 11:35 (scheduled 11:30) and land about 13:40 (scheduled 13:40).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual morningGK509's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as GK440 from Takamatsu, not departed yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Calmer than usual at FukuokaFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow. Arrivals there in the last hour: 6% 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈50 to 15
Made up in the air−5
Lands≈0
departures at TokyoJetstar Japan todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 90
usually 1 in 46Check again tomorrow 08:30Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
53on time
27late
9very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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GK509 Tokyo to Fukuoka left within 15 minutes of schedule on 53 of its last 90 flights, usually 12 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 36. It was cancelled once.