Will GK615 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Kumamoto · Thu 5 Nov · Jetstar Japan
It should have left by now.
We said: Unlikely. It should leave about 8 minutes late, around 17:08. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:00≈17:08
Lands19:20≈19:23
As of 18:19, GK615 was due to push back about 17:08 (scheduled 17:00). The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
same answer since Tokyo time
Why ≈8 min
A usual eveningGK615's typical departure, last 90 days10
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−3
Tokyo is running smoothly6% of the next two hours' departures already show 15+ min late−1
Jetstar Japan is running late today63% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late+2
Leaves≈82 to 21
Made up in the air−5
Lands≈3
weather at Tokyoweather at Kumamotostorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 53Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
66on time
10late
13very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
GK615 Tokyo to Kumamoto left within 15 minutes of schedule on 66 of its last 90 flights, usually 7 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 23. It was cancelled once.