Will GK81 be delayed today?
Osaka → Manila Ninoy Aquino · Fri 6 Nov · Jetstar Japan
Very likely, by about 70 minutes.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves21:55≈23:07Osaka time
Lands01:20≈02:21SatManila time
Lands in the night from Fri into Sat, Manila time.
As of 21:49, GK81 should push back about 23:07 (scheduled 21:55) and land about 02:21 (scheduled 01:20).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
same answer since Osaka time
Why ≈70 min
A usual eveningGK81's typical departure, last 90 days16
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as GK211 from Tokyo, not departed yet+1
The board already shows 60 min lateOsaka departures board+58
Calmer than usual at OsakaFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Osaka is running smoothly60% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−2
Leaves≈7054 to 85
Made up in the air−11
Lands≈60
weather at ManilaJetstar Japan todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 81
usually 1 in 175Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
25on time
13late
9very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
GK81 Osaka to Manila left within 15 minutes of schedule on 25 of its last 47 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 22. It wasn't cancelled once.