Will JQ946 be delayed today?
Melbourne → Cairns · Sun 1 Nov · Jetstar
updated Melbourne time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:50≈20:06
Lands22:15≈22:19
As of 18:39, JQ946 should push back about 20:06 (scheduled 19:50) and land about 22:19 (scheduled 22:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual eveningJQ946's typical departure, last 90 days18
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as JQ945 from Cairns, due 19:100
On time on the board so farMelbourne departures board−2
Calmer than usual at MelbourneFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Melbourne is backing up5% of the next two hours' departures already show 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈155 to 36
Made up in the air−12
Lands≈4
weather at CairnsJetstar todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 81
usually 1 in 55Check again 19:10Melbourne time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
45on time
25late
17very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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JQ946 Melbourne to Cairns left within 15 minutes of schedule on 45 of its last 88 flights, usually 14 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 42. It was cancelled once.