willmyflightbedelayed?

Will KQ486 be delayed today?

Nairobi → Dar es Salaam Julius Nyerere · Wed 4 Nov · Kenya Airways

It should have left by now.

We said: Maybe 15+ minutes late. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.

No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves18:50≈18:55

As of 19:49, KQ486 was due to push back about 18:55 (scheduled 18:50). The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.

Thin board data at this airport.

same answer since Nairobi time

Why ≈5 min

A usual eveningTypical for this time of day at Nairobi; KQ486 is new to us7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farNairobi departures board−2
Calmer than usual at NairobiFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Nairobi is backing upFew departures reported recently+1
Leaves≈50 to 19

weather at Dar es SalaamKenya todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes

Cancelled? 1 in 64

usually 1 in 16