willmyflightbedelayed?

Will OM502 be delayed tomorrow?

Tokyo → Ulaanbaatar Chinggis Khaan · Wed 4 Nov · MIAT Mongolian Airlines

same answer since Tokyo time

Maybe 15+ minutes late.

No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves15:30≈15:36

As of 18:19, OM502 should push back about 15:36 (scheduled 15:30).

Boarding still follows the original schedule.

tomorrow ≈15:3615:3016:0016:3017:00scheduled

Why ≈6 min

A usual afternoonOM502's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Leaves≈60 to 16

weather at Ulaanbaatardepartures at TokyoMIAT Mongolian Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes

Cancelled? 1 in 90

usually 1 in 49

Check again tomorrow 12:30Tokyo time

Last 90 days

60on time
22late
5very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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OM502 Tokyo to Ulaanbaatar left within 15 minutes of schedule on 60 of its last 88 flights, usually 4 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 27. It was cancelled once.