willmyflightbedelayed?

Will PR2857 be delayed?

Manila → Mactan Cebu · Sat 31 Oct · Philippine Airlines

updated Manila time

Maybe, by about 15 minutes.

It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.

No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves22:00≈22:13

As of 00:19, PR2857 should push back about 22:13 (scheduled 22:00).

Thin board data at this airport.

Why ≈15 min

A usual nightTypical for this time of day at Manila; PR2857 is new to us10
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farManila departures board−2
Calmer than usual at ManilaFrom the TAF: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Manila is backing up52% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late+2
Philippine is running late that day72% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 8 min late+4
Leaves≈151 to 38

weather at Cebustorms, quakes, volcanoes

Other Manila → Cebu flights yesterday