Will PR429 be delayed?
Tokyo → Manila Ninoy Aquino · Sat 31 Oct · Philippine Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Very likely, by about 75 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves21:35≈22:50
Lands01:30≈02:28Sun
As of 00:19, PR429 should push back about 22:50 (scheduled 21:35) and land about 02:28 (scheduled 01:30).
Thin board data at this airport.
Why ≈75 min
A usual eveningTypical for this time of day at Tokyo; PR429 is new to us14
Your plane is likely running lateIt usually comes in as PR432 from Manila, which has landed+22
The board already shows 50 min lateTokyo departures board+37
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Tokyo is backing up29% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late+1
Philippine is running late that day78% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 22 min late; yesterday this flight left 55 min late+2
Leaves≈7562 to 76
Made up in the air−17
Lands≈60
weather at Manilastorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 81
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
1on time
2late
2very late
0cancelled
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