Will PR431 be delayed tomorrow?
Tokyo → Manila Ninoy Aquino · Wed 4 Nov · Philippine Airlines
same answer since Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 09:20.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:20≈09:22Tokyo time
Lands13:15≈13:07Manila time
As of 16:19, PR431 should push back about 09:22 (scheduled 09:20) and land about 13:07 (scheduled 13:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Thin board data at this airport.
Why ≈2 min
A usual morningPR431's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as PR432 from Manila, not departed yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Leaves≈2−2 to 9
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈−8
weather at Maniladepartures at TokyoPhilippine todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again tomorrow 06:20Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
62on time
8late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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PR431 Tokyo to Manila left within 15 minutes of schedule on 62 of its last 71 flights, usually 4 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 9. It wasn't cancelled once.