willmyflightbedelayed?

Will PD157 be delayed today?

Toronto → Ottawa Macdonald-Cartier · Sat 31 Oct · Porter Airlines

updated Toronto time

Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:45.

It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.

No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves16:45≈16:44

As of 18:19, PD157 should push back about 16:44 (scheduled 16:45).

today ≈16:4416:4517:1517:4518:15scheduled

Why ≈1 min early

A usual afternoonPD157's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farToronto departures board−2
Calmer than usual at TorontoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Toronto is running smoothly0% of the next two hours' departures already show 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈−1−5 to 5

weather at OttawaPorter todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes

Cancelled? 1 in 196

usually 1 in 56

Last 90 days

56on time
10late
3very late
3cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

PD157 Toronto to Ottawa left within 15 minutes of schedule on 56 of its last 72 flights, usually 2 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 13. It was cancelled 3 times.

Other Toronto → Ottawa flights today