Will QF154 be delayed tomorrow?
Auckland → Melbourne · Mon 2 Nov · Qantas
updated Auckland time
Maybe, by about 7 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:25≈13:32
Lands15:35≈15:39
As of 19:19, QF154 should push back about 13:32 (scheduled 13:25) and land about 15:39 (scheduled 15:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual afternoonQF154's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as QF151 from Melbourne, not departed yet0
Calmer than usual at AucklandFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Leaves≈71 to 24
Made up in the air−3
Lands≈4
weather at Melbournedepartures at AucklandQantas todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 74
Check again tomorrow 10:25Auckland time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
60on time
8late
8very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
QF154 Auckland to Melbourne left within 15 minutes of schedule on 60 of its last 77 flights, usually 2 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 16. It was cancelled once.