Will QF170 be delayed today?
Christchurch → Melbourne · Sun 1 Nov · Qantas
updated Christchurch time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 15:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:45≈15:50
Lands17:40≈17:41
As of 17:19, QF170 should push back about 15:50 (scheduled 15:45) and land about 17:41 (scheduled 17:40).
Thin board data at this airport.
Why ≈5 min
A usual afternoonQF170's typical departure, last 90 days12
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as QF167 from Melbourne, which has landed−2
On time on the board so farChristchurch departures board−2
Calmer than usual at ChristchurchFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Christchurch is running smoothly0% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late−2
Leaves≈5−1 to 13
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈1
weather at MelbourneQantas todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
11on time
9late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
QF170 Christchurch to Melbourne left within 15 minutes of schedule on 11 of its last 21 flights, usually 8 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 10. It wasn't cancelled once.