Will FR2814 be delayed today?
London → Cologne Bonn · Sat 31 Oct · Ryanair
updated London time
Very likely, by about 20 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:20≈16:39
As of 16:19, FR2814 should push back about 16:39 (scheduled 16:20).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈20 min
A usual afternoonFR2814's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 15 min lateLondon departures board+12
Calmer than usual at LondonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
London is backing up29% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈2013 to 29
weather at CologneRyanair todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 65Last 90 days
57on time
18late
13very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
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FR2814 London to Cologne left within 15 minutes of schedule on 57 of its last 89 flights, usually 2 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 31. It was cancelled once.