Will FR4084 be delayed today?
Barcelona → Warsaw Modlin · Sat 31 Oct · Ryanair
updated Barcelona time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 19:10.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:10≈19:15
As of 15:39, FR4084 should push back about 19:15 (scheduled 19:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual eveningFR4084's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farBarcelona departures board−1
Calmer than usual at BarcelonaFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Calmer than usual at Warsaw ModlinFrom our forecast: quiet today−1
Ryanair is running late today36% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late+2
Leaves≈5−1 to 19
departures at Barcelonastorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 137Check again 16:10Barcelona time
Last 90 days
42on time
10late
9very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
FR4084 Barcelona to Warsaw Modlin left within 15 minutes of schedule on 42 of its last 61 flights, usually 6 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 19. It wasn't cancelled once.