Will FR4096 be delayed today?
Manchester → Riga · Sat 31 Oct · Ryanair
updated Manchester time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 17:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:05≈17:13
Lands21:45≈21:46
As of 16:19, FR4096 should push back about 17:13 (scheduled 17:05) and land about 21:46 (scheduled 21:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈8 min
A usual eveningFR4096's typical departure, last 90 days13
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farManchester departures board−4
Calmer than usual at ManchesterFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈8−2 to 22
Made up in the air−7
Lands≈1
weather at Rigadepartures at ManchesterRyanair todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 16:20Manchester time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
31on time
13late
8very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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FR4096 Manchester to Riga left within 15 minutes of schedule on 31 of its last 52 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 21. It wasn't cancelled once.