Will FR4189 be delayed today?
London → Bergamo Il Caravaggio · Sat 31 Oct · Ryanair
updated London time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:50≈18:05
As of 13:59, FR4189 should push back about 18:05 (scheduled 17:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual eveningFR4189's typical departure, last 90 days16
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farLondon departures board−1
Calmer than usual at LondonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Calmer than usual at BergamoFrom our forecast: quiet today−1
London is backing up36% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+2
Leaves≈154 to 36
Ryanair todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 185Check again 14:50London time
Last 90 days
17on time
14late
12very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
FR4189 London to Bergamo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 17 of its last 43 flights, usually 21 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 26. It wasn't cancelled once.