Will FR4370 be delayed today?
Manchester → Seville · Sat 31 Oct · Ryanair
updated Manchester time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:15≈17:28
Lands21:05≈21:07
As of 13:59, FR4370 should push back about 17:28 (scheduled 17:15) and land about 21:07 (scheduled 21:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual eveningFR4370's typical departure, last 90 days15
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farManchester departures board−1
Calmer than usual at ManchesterFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈152 to 34
Made up in the air−11
Lands≈2
weather at Sevilledepartures at ManchesterRyanair todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 169Check again 14:15Manchester time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
16on time
9late
5very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
FR4370 Manchester to Seville left within 15 minutes of schedule on 16 of its last 30 flights, usually 7 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 14. It wasn't cancelled once.