Will FR4501 be delayed today?
Dublin → Cologne Bonn · Sat 31 Oct · Ryanair
updated Dublin time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves20:00≈20:11
As of 14:39, FR4501 should push back about 20:11 (scheduled 20:00).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual eveningFR4501's typical departure, last 90 days12
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at CologneFrom our forecast: quiet today−1
Leaves≈102 to 32
weather at Dublindepartures at DublinRyanair todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 123
Check again 17:00Dublin time
Last 90 days
23on time
11late
5very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
FR4501 Dublin to Cologne left within 15 minutes of schedule on 23 of its last 39 flights, usually 12 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 16. It wasn't cancelled once.