Will FR4784 be delayed today?
Dublin → Cornwall Newquay · Sun 1 Nov · Ryanair
updated Dublin time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:45≈12:52
As of 08:39, FR4784 should push back about 12:52 (scheduled 12:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual afternoonFR4784's typical departure, last 90 days10
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farDublin departures board−1
Calmer than usual at DublinFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Dublin is running smoothly9% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈70 to 20
weather at NewquayRyanair todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 09:45Dublin time
Last 90 days
29on time
14late
13very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
FR4784 Dublin to Newquay left within 15 minutes of schedule on 29 of its last 56 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 27. It wasn't cancelled once.