Will FR499 be delayed today?
London → Madrid Barajas · Sat 31 Oct · Ryanair
updated London time
Probably, by about 20 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:15≈16:34
Lands19:45≈19:55
As of 15:19, FR499 should push back about 16:34 (scheduled 16:15) and land about 19:55 (scheduled 19:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈20 min
A usual afternoonFR499's typical departure, last 90 days15
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 5 min lateLondon departures board+2
Calmer than usual at LondonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
London is backing up39% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Ryanair is running late today35% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 12 min late; yesterday this flight left 69 min late+2
Leaves≈2010 to 32
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈10
weather at Madridstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:30London time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
32on time
23late
23very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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FR499 London to Madrid left within 15 minutes of schedule on 32 of its last 78 flights, usually 26 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 46. It wasn't cancelled once.