Will FR5021 be delayed today?
Dublin → Pisa · Sat 31 Oct · Ryanair
updated Dublin time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:05≈16:10
As of 13:59, FR5021 should push back about 16:10 (scheduled 16:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual afternoonFR5021's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farDublin departures board−1
Calmer than usual at DublinFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Dublin is backing up40% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+2
Leaves≈5−3 to 18
weather at PisaRyanair todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:20Dublin time
Last 90 days
59on time
18late
8very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
FR5021 Dublin to Pisa left within 15 minutes of schedule on 59 of its last 85 flights, usually 5 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 26. It wasn't cancelled once.