Will FR6815 be delayed today?
Madrid → Manchester · Sat 31 Oct · Ryanair
updated Madrid time
Probably, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:55≈19:12
Lands20:30≈20:38
As of 15:39, FR6815 should push back about 19:12 (scheduled 18:55) and land about 20:38 (scheduled 20:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual eveningFR6815's typical departure, last 90 days16
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farMadrid departures board−1
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Madrid is backing up53% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Ryanair is running late today36% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 20 min late; yesterday this flight left 33 min late+2
Leaves≈155 to 41
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈8
weather at Manchesterstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 15:55Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
8on time
2late
5very late
0cancelled
M
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W
T
F
S
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FR6815 Madrid to Manchester left within 15 minutes of schedule on 8 of its last 15 flights, usually 6 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 7. It wasn't cancelled once.