Will FR6816 be delayed today?
Manchester → Milan Malpensa · Sat 31 Oct · Ryanair
updated Manchester time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:10≈16:20
Lands≈19:20
As of 14:59, FR6816 should push back about 16:20 (scheduled 16:10) and land about 19:20 (scheduled 19:20).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonFR6816's typical departure, last 90 days14
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farManchester departures board−4
Calmer than usual at ManchesterFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Manchester is backing up35% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈100 to 26
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈0
weather at MilanRyanair todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 130Check again 15:25Manchester time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
27on time
28late
17very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
FR6816 Manchester to Milan left within 15 minutes of schedule on 27 of its last 72 flights, usually 24 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 45. It wasn't cancelled once.