Will FR8197 be delayed today?
Lisbon → Rome Fiumicino · Sat 31 Oct · Ryanair
updated Lisbon time
Probably, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:15≈11:31
Lands15:15≈15:16
As of 11:59, FR8197 should push back about 11:31 (scheduled 11:15) and land about 15:16 (scheduled 15:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual morningFR8197's typical departure, last 90 days13
Your plane is likely running lateIt usually comes in as FR8196 from Rome, which has landed+6
On time on the board so farLisbon departures board−3
Calmer than usual at LisbonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Lisbon is backing up10% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈156 to 33
Made up in the air−15
Lands≈1
weather at RomeRyanair todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
46on time
26late
18very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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FR8197 Lisbon to Rome left within 15 minutes of schedule on 46 of its last 90 flights, usually 12 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 44. It wasn't cancelled once.