Will FR8515 be delayed today?
London → Sofia · Sat 31 Oct · Ryanair
updated London time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 15:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:45≈15:51
Lands20:45≈20:46
As of 13:59, FR8515 should push back about 15:51 (scheduled 15:45) and land about 20:46 (scheduled 20:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈6 min
A usual afternoonFR8515's typical departure, last 90 days9
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farLondon departures board−3
Calmer than usual at LondonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
London is backing up36% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈6−1 to 15
Made up in the air−5
Lands≈1
weather at SofiaRyanair todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 27Check again 15:00London time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
13on time
3late
5very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
FR8515 London to Sofia left within 15 minutes of schedule on 13 of its last 22 flights, usually 5 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 8. It was cancelled once.