Will FR864 be delayed today?
Bucharest → Bergamo Il Caravaggio · Sat 31 Oct · Ryanair
updated Bucharest time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:45≈16:48
As of 18:19, FR864 should push back about 16:48 (scheduled 16:45).
Thin board data at this airport.
Why ≈3 min
A usual afternoonFR864's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as FR865 from Bergamo, due 16:20+1
On time on the board so farBucharest departures board−3
Low cloud or fogFrom the TAF: low cloud and poor visibility around departure, 90% chance of rain at Bucharest today+1
Bucharest is running smoothly0% of the next two hours' departures already show 15+ min late−2
Leaves≈3−1 to 20
weather at BergamoRyanair todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Last 90 days
41on time
11late
15very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
FR864 Bucharest to Bergamo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 41 of its last 67 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 26. It wasn't cancelled once.