Will FR8853 be delayed today?
London → Malta · Sat 31 Oct · Ryanair
updated London time
Very likely, by about 175 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves20:30≈23:25
Lands00:45≈03:27Sun
As of 19:59, FR8853 should push back about 23:25 (scheduled 20:30) and land about 03:27 (scheduled 00:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈175 min
A usual eveningFR8853's typical departure, last 90 days22
Your plane is likely running lateIt usually comes in as FR8852 from Malta, 150 min behind, due 22:35+17
The board already shows 155 min lateLondon departures board+135
Calmer than usual at LondonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Thunderstorms possible at MaltaFrom the TAF: thunder in the TAF, gusts to about 30 kt at Malta today+2
Leaves≈175154 to 187
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈160
departures at LondonRyanair todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 23
Check again 22:35London time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
43on time
14late
18very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
FR8853 London to Malta left within 15 minutes of schedule on 43 of its last 75 flights, usually 8 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 32. It wasn't cancelled once.