Will FR9441 be delayed today?
Lisbon → Madrid Barajas · Sat 31 Oct · Ryanair
updated Lisbon time
Probably, by about 35 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:30≈14:03
Lands15:55≈16:19
As of 13:19, FR9441 should push back about 14:03 (scheduled 13:30) and land about 16:19 (scheduled 15:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈35 min
A usual afternoonFR9441's typical departure, last 90 days18
Your plane is likely running lateIt usually comes in as FR9440 from Madrid, which left 30 min late+18
On time on the board so farLisbon departures board−2
Calmer than usual at LisbonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈3515 to 51
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈25
weather at Madriddepartures at LisbonRyanair todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
38on time
14late
11very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
FR9441 Lisbon to Madrid left within 15 minutes of schedule on 38 of its last 63 flights, usually 10 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 25. It wasn't cancelled once.