willmyflightbedelayed?

Will SV862 be delayed?

Riyadh → Manila Ninoy Aquino · Wed 4 Nov · Saudia

It should have left by now.

We said: Unlikely. It should leave close to 23:30. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.

No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves≈23:30

As of 00:19, SV862 was due to push back about 23:30 (scheduled 23:30). The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.

Thin board data at this airport.

same answer since Riyadh time

Why ≈0 min

A usual nightTypical for this time of day at Riyadh; SV862 is new to us2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farRiyadh departures board−2
Leaves≈0−3 to 8

weather at Riyadhweather at Maniladepartures at RiyadhSaudi Arabian that daystorms, quakes, volcanoes

Cancelled? 1 in 17

usually 1 in 10

Other Riyadh → Manila flights yesterday