Will ZH9512 be delayed tomorrow?
Shanghai → Shenzhen Bao'an · Sun 1 Nov · Shenzhen Airlines
updated Shanghai time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:15.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:15≈12:17
Lands14:45≈14:34
As of 23:19, ZH9512 should push back about 12:17 (scheduled 12:15) and land about 14:34 (scheduled 14:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min
A usual afternoonZH9512's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as ZH9511 from Shenzhen, not departed yet0
Leaves≈2−3 to 10
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈−11
weather at Shanghaiweather at Shenzhendepartures at ShanghaiShenzhen todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again tomorrow 09:15Shanghai time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
64on time
17late
5very late
0cancelled
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ZH9512 Shanghai to Shenzhen left within 15 minutes of schedule on 64 of its last 86 flights, usually 1 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 22. It wasn't cancelled once.