Will BC22 be delayed today?
Fukuoka → Tokyo Haneda · Sun 1 Nov · Skymark Airlines
updated Fukuoka time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:45≈18:52
Lands20:20≈20:26
As of 09:19, BC22 should push back about 18:52 (scheduled 18:45) and land about 20:26 (scheduled 20:20).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual eveningBC22's typical departure, last 90 days9
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at FukuokaFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Fukuoka is running smoothly7% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈70 to 18
Made up in the air−1
Lands≈6
weather at TokyoSkymark Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 130
usually 1 in 51Check again 15:45Fukuoka time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
48on time
26late
14very late
2cancelled
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BC22 Fukuoka to Tokyo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 48 of its last 90 flights, usually 11 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 40. It was cancelled twice.