Will WN2499 be delayed today?
Ontario → Phoenix Sky Harbor · Sun 1 Nov · Southwest
same answer since Ontario time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:20≈17:35Ontario time
Lands19:40≈19:55Phoenix time
As of 16:39, WN2499 should push back about 17:35 (scheduled 17:20) and land about 19:55 (scheduled 19:40).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual eveningTypical for this time of day at Ontario; WN2499 is new to us6
Your plane is on timeN8774Q is coming from Las Vegas, due 16:43+2
The board already shows 8 min lateOntario departures board+5
Calmer than usual at OntarioFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Thunderstorms possible at PhoenixFrom the TAF: thunder in the TAF, 97% chance of rain at Phoenix today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 31% 15+ min late+2
Southwest is running late today44% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 31 min late+2
FAA plan for todayThe FAA expects constraints at Phoenix today−1
Leaves≈156 to 34
departures at Ontariostorms, quakes, volcanoes
