Will WN291 be delayed today?
Austin → Baltimore/Washington Thurgood Marshall · Mon 2 Nov · Southwest
same answer since Austin time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:30≈17:44Austin time
Lands21:45≈21:55Baltimore time
As of 07:19, WN291 should push back about 17:44 (scheduled 17:30) and land about 21:55 (scheduled 21:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual eveningTypical for this time of day at Austin; WN291 is new to us15
Your plane is on timeN8545V is coming from Phoenix, due 16:500
On time on the board so farAustin departures board−1
Calmer than usual at AustinFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Calmer than usual at BaltimoreFrom our forecast: dry today−1
FAA plan: delays possibleThe FAA's plan for today lists a possible ground stop or delay program at Austin+2
Leaves≈15−2 to 60
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈10
departures at AustinSouthwest todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 16:50Austin time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
12on time
3late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
WN291 Austin to Baltimore left within 15 minutes of schedule on 12 of its last 19 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 7. It wasn't cancelled once.