Will WN409 be delayed today?
Austin → Phoenix Sky Harbor · Sun 1 Nov · Southwest
same answer since Austin time
Probably, by about 35 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves20:00≈20:35Austin time
Lands21:35≈22:04Phoenix time
As of 20:39, WN409 should push back about 20:35 (scheduled 20:00) and land about 22:04 (scheduled 21:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈35 min
A usual eveningTypical for this time of day at Austin; WN409 is new to us9
Your plane came in lateN8691A landed from Phoenix, 15 min behind schedule+3
The board already shows 22 min lateAustin departures board+15
Calmer than usual at AustinFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Thunderstorms possible at PhoenixFrom the TAF: thunder 46% likely, 97% chance of rain at Phoenix today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 31% 15+ min late+1
Austin is backing up75% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+5
Southwest is running late today53% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 66 min late+4
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈3523 to 40
Made up in the air−6
Lands≈30
storms, quakes, volcanoes
