Will WN4230 be delayed?
San Jose → Chicago Midway · Sun 1 Nov · Southwest
same answer since San Jose time
Unlikely. It could leave early, around 22:52.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves23:00≈22:52San Jose time
Lands05:00≈04:50MonChicago time
As of 00:19, WN4230 should push back about 22:52 (scheduled 23:00) and land about 04:50 (scheduled 05:00).
Why ≈8 min early
A usual nightTypical for this time of day at San Jose; WN4230 is new to us−3
Your plane is hereN1810U landed from Las Vegas−3
On time on the board so farSan Jose departures board−1
Calmer than usual at San JoseFrom the TAF: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Leaves≈−8−19 to 3
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈−10
weather at Chicagodepartures at San JoseSouthwest that daystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
