willmyflightbedelayed?

Will WN4685 be delayed today?

Houston → Memphis Frederick W. Smith · Thu 5 Nov · Southwest

It should have left by now.

We said: Probably, by about 15 minutes. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.

No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves20:30≈20:45
Lands22:05≈22:19

As of 21:19, WN4685 was due to push back about 20:45 (scheduled 20:30). The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.

Thin board data at this airport.

today ≈20:4520:3021:0021:3022:00scheduled

same answer since Houston time

Why ≈15 min

A usual eveningWN4685's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 15 min lateHouston departures board+11
Calmer than usual at HoustonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Houston is running smoothly0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−2
Leaves≈159 to 25
Made up in the air−1
Lands≈15

weather at MemphisSouthwest todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes

Meeting someone?

Link preview: WN4685 lands about 22:19

Last 90 days

58on time
17late
6very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

WN4685 Houston to Memphis left within 15 minutes of schedule on 58 of its last 81 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 23. It wasn't cancelled once.