Will WN4858 be delayed today?
Philadelphia → Orlando · Sun 1 Nov · Southwest
same answer since Philadelphia time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:40.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:40≈12:38
Lands15:20≈15:09
As of 05:19, WN4858 should push back about 12:38 (scheduled 12:40) and land about 15:09 (scheduled 15:20).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual afternoonWN4858's typical departure, last 90 days−3
Your planeNot assigned yet. We usually see it from about 23:550
Calmer than usual at PhiladelphiaFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Thunderstorms possible at OrlandoFrom our forecast: thunder in the TAF, 95% chance of rain at Orlando today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 0% 15+ min late+1
FAA plan: delays possibleThe FAA's plan for today lists a possible ground stop or delay program at Orlando+1
Leaves≈−2−7 to 5
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈−11
departures at PhiladelphiaSouthwest todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 09:40Philadelphia time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
29on time
1late
0very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
WN4858 Philadelphia to Orlando left within 15 minutes of schedule on 29 of its last 30 flights, usually 1 minute early, and 15 minutes or more late on 1. It wasn't cancelled once.