Will IJ213 be delayed tomorrow?
Tokyo → Harbin Taiping · Mon 2 Nov · Spring Japan
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 06:00.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves06:00≈06:04
As of 13:49, IJ213 should push back about 06:04 (scheduled 06:00).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min
A usual morningIJ213's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as IJ214 from Harbin, 50 min behind, due 15:450
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Leaves≈40 to 8
weather at Harbindepartures at TokyoSpring Japan todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:45Tokyo time
Last 90 days
78on time
8late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
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IJ213 Tokyo to Harbin left within 15 minutes of schedule on 78 of its last 90 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 12. It wasn't cancelled once.