Will IJ5 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Shanghai Pudong · Sun 1 Nov · Spring Japan
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 19:20.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:20≈19:25
Lands21:45≈21:36
As of 15:39, IJ5 should push back about 19:25 (scheduled 19:20) and land about 21:36 (scheduled 21:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual eveningIJ5's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−1
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈5−1 to 14
Made up in the air−14
Lands≈−9
weather at Shanghaidepartures at TokyoSpring Japan todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 16:20Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
60on time
12late
7very late
2cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
IJ5 Tokyo to Shanghai left within 15 minutes of schedule on 60 of its last 81 flights, usually 2 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 19. It was cancelled twice.