Will TP1531 be delayed today?
Lisbon → São Tomé · Sat 31 Oct · TAP Air Portugal
updated Lisbon time
Maybe, by about 9 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:50≈10:59
As of 11:39, TP1531 should push back about 10:59 (scheduled 10:50).
Why ≈9 min
A usual morningTP1531's typical departure, last 90 days17
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farLisbon departures board−4
Calmer than usual at LisbonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
TAP AIR PORTUGAL is running well today21% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 13 min early−3
Leaves≈94 to 24
weather at São Tomédepartures at Lisbonstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 185Last 90 days
9on time
11late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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TP1531 Lisbon to São Tomé left within 15 minutes of schedule on 9 of its last 21 flights, usually 15 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 12. It wasn't cancelled once.