Will TP231 be delayed today?
Lisbon → Washington Dulles · Sat 31 Oct · TAP Air Portugal
updated Lisbon time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 11:25.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:25≈11:31
Lands15:45≈15:40
As of 11:19, TP231 should push back about 11:31 (scheduled 11:25) and land about 15:40 (scheduled 15:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈6 min
A usual morningTP231's typical departure, last 90 days10
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farLisbon departures board−3
Calmer than usual at LisbonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈62 to 15
Made up in the air−11
Lands≈−5
weather at Washingtondepartures at LisbonTAP AIR PORTUGAL todayFAA ground stops and delay programsstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
54on time
26late
7very late
0cancelled
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W
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TP231 Lisbon to Washington left within 15 minutes of schedule on 54 of its last 87 flights, usually 10 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 33. It wasn't cancelled once.