Will TP494 be delayed today?
Lisbon → Toulouse-Blagnac · Sat 31 Oct · TAP Air Portugal
updated Lisbon time
Maybe, by about 8 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves20:00≈20:08
As of 15:19, TP494 should push back about 20:08 (scheduled 20:00).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈8 min
A usual eveningTP494's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at LisbonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Lisbon is backing up85% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈80 to 22
weather at ToulouseTAP AIR PORTUGAL todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 17:00Lisbon time
Last 90 days
24on time
30late
12very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
TP494 Lisbon to Toulouse left within 15 minutes of schedule on 24 of its last 66 flights, usually 20 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 42. It wasn't cancelled once.