Will TP534 be delayed today?
Lisbon → Berlin Brandenburg · Sat 31 Oct · TAP Air Portugal
updated Lisbon time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:55≈18:07
Lands22:25≈22:23
As of 13:59, TP534 should push back about 18:07 (scheduled 17:55) and land about 22:23 (scheduled 22:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual eveningTP534's typical departure, last 90 days13
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farLisbon departures board−1
Calmer than usual at LisbonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Lisbon is backing up33% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈102 to 24
Made up in the air−14
Lands≈−2
weather at BerlinTAP AIR PORTUGAL todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 14:55Lisbon time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
29on time
37late
11very late
0cancelled
M
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W
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TP534 Lisbon to Berlin left within 15 minutes of schedule on 29 of its last 77 flights, usually 18 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 48. It wasn't cancelled once.