Will TP828 be delayed today?
Lisbon → Milan Malpensa · Sat 31 Oct · TAP Air Portugal
updated Lisbon time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:50≈20:05
Lands23:35≈23:37
As of 14:39, TP828 should push back about 20:05 (scheduled 19:50) and land about 23:37 (scheduled 23:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual eveningTP828's typical departure, last 90 days16
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as TP943 from Geneva, not departed yet0
Calmer than usual at LisbonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Calmer than usual at MilanFrom the TAF: dry today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 7% 15+ min late−1
Lisbon is backing up57% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈156 to 26
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈2
TAP AIR PORTUGAL todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 59Check again 16:50Lisbon time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
23on time
33late
24very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
TP828 Lisbon to Milan left within 15 minutes of schedule on 23 of its last 81 flights, usually 36 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 57. It was cancelled once.