Will TO3011 be delayed today?
Marrakesh → Paris Orly · Sun 1 Nov · Transavia
same answer since Marrakesh time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:25≈09:24Marrakesh time
Lands13:50≈13:46Paris time
As of 09:49, TO3011 should push back about 09:24 (scheduled 09:25) and land about 13:46 (scheduled 13:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min early
A usual morningTO3011's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as TO3010 from Paris, due 08:45−1
On time on the board so farMarrakesh departures board−1
Calmer than usual at MarrakeshFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Marrakesh is running smoothly0% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈−1−1 to −1
Made up in the air−3
Lands≈−4
weather at ParisTransavia France todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
28on time
3late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
TO3011 Marrakesh to Paris left within 15 minutes of schedule on 28 of its last 32 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 4. It wasn't cancelled once.