Will TO3016 be delayed today?
Paris → Marrakesh Menara · Sat 31 Oct · Transavia
updated Paris time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 14:25.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:25≈14:30
Lands16:50≈16:44
As of 14:59, TO3016 should push back about 14:30 (scheduled 14:25) and land about 16:44 (scheduled 16:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual afternoonTO3016's typical departure, last 90 days9
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farParis departures board−2
Calmer than usual at ParisFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Paris is running smoothly0% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈51 to 16
Made up in the air−11
Lands≈−6
weather at MarrakeshTransavia France todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 169Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
15on time
6late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
TO3016 Paris to Marrakesh left within 15 minutes of schedule on 15 of its last 23 flights, usually 11 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 8. It wasn't cancelled once.