Will TO3858 be delayed today?
Paris → Olbia Costa Smeralda · Sat 31 Oct · Transavia
updated Paris time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:30≈13:40
As of 14:59, TO3858 should push back about 13:40 (scheduled 13:30).
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonTO3858's typical departure, last 90 days15
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farParis departures board−3
Calmer than usual at ParisFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Paris is running smoothly0% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈102 to 25
weather at OlbiaTransavia France todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Last 90 days
23on time
17late
5very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
TO3858 Paris to Olbia left within 15 minutes of schedule on 23 of its last 45 flights, usually 10 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 22. It wasn't cancelled once.